Andrey Rublev vs Justin Engel Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Recent second serve performance shows Rublev winning 46.12% of points, slightly higher than Engel's 45.41%. This minor advantage can influence match outcomes significantly.
• In return game stats, Rublev has won 44.88% of opponent's second serve points, narrowly edging Engel's 44.69%. However, Engel has a slight lead in first serve return points with 27.46% compared to Rublev’s 25%.
• Both players' ability to save breakpoints shows Rublev at 59.44% and Engel at 56.02%. This indicates Rublev might handle crucial match moments somewhat better.
• Rublev has a lower overall match win percentage in the past year (54.1%) compared to Engel's 62.86%, suggesting recent performance favors Engel.
• Considering career surface performances, Rublev excels on Hard courts with a 66% win rate, whereas Engel is strongest on Clay with a 59% win rate.
• Rublev's exposure to higher-level competition on the Main tour (63.64% win rate), contrasts with Engel's success in lower-tier tournaments (82.05% win rate), highlighting a disparity in the level of opposition faced.
• Opponent quality is a notable difference, as Rublev has faced players with an average rank of 51.9, while Engel competed against those ranked around 340.39, indicating Rublev consistently challenges higher-ranked opponents.
• In deciding sets, Engel shows greater resilience, winning 60% of them compared to Rublev's 42%, which could be pivotal if the match is closely contested.
• Rublev has converted 31.58% of breakpoint opportunities recently, while Engel achieves a slightly better rate of 34.44%, potentially giving Engel a minor edge in seizing key moments.

Editorial Prediction (May 21, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Rublev and Engel presents an intriguing clash of skills and recent form. Rublev has a slight edge in second serve performance and has faced tougher competition, which can be a decisive factor in high-stakes matches.

Despite Engel's impressive win rate over the past year, much of his success has come in lower-tier events, and his slightly weaker breakpoint save percentage suggests he might falter under increased pressure against a more experienced opponent.

Engel’s ability to win deciding sets is commendable and could come into play if the match becomes tightly contested. However, Rublev’s experience on a higher level and his performance on preferred surfaces position him as the likely victor.

Overall, while Engel’s recent form and conversion rates are promising, Rublev’s experience against stronger opponents and better surface adaptability make him the expected winner of this match.